Invest Like The Best
Episode 329 Macro Headwinds vs. Tech Tailwinds
Invest Like The Best

Episode 329: Macro Headwinds vs. Tech Tailwinds

Invest Like The Best

Episode 329

Macro Headwinds vs. Tech Tailwinds

Karen Karniol-Tambour is the co-CIO at Bridgewater Associates. We cover why AI is set to up-end the macro cycle status quo, the most important variables few people are thinking about, and whether gold and other asset classes are overrated or underrated right now.

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(00:03:05) - (First question) - Her take on AI and watching this new technology unfold

(00:06:39) - Things she’s watching in the AI space that might lead to taking portfolio action 

(00:09:19) - Potentially using AI to inform or make investment decisions 

(00:10:17) - Why might it be the case that no one can use AI for investing in macro markets

(00:11:14) - What she’d write about regarding the general state of capital markets today

(00:13:46) - What pricing is telling us about market sentiment writ large

(00:15:47) - Thinking about portfolio positioning in light of the unattractive state of risk assets

(00:17:17) - Her perspectives on gold historically and today 

(00:20:09) - Big long-term slow-moving macro variables that aren’t quite visible yet 

(00:22:09) - The all-weather portfolio and building one in light of so much uncertainty 

(00:24:38) - The rise of China, its growing power, and potential conflicts with the US 

(00:28:01) - Monitoring for things like the banking crisis beneath the public narrative 

(00:31:13) - Non-obvious variables that currently have her attention 

(00:33:29) - “Overrated or underrated” rapid-fire questions

(00:36:04) - What it’s been like being the CIO of Bridgewater so far

Macro Headwinds vs. Tech Tailwinds

Introduction

Patrick
Today's conversation was recorded during last week's Sohn Conference. I sat down with Karen Karniol-Tambour, Co-CIO at Bridgewater Associates. I hosted Karen on this show two years ago. And if you listen to that, you'll remember she has a rare skill for distilling and analyzing complex macro topics.

Today's environment is strikingly different to the summer of 2021. So this is a timely conversation on the big macro variables that are on investors' minds today. Please enjoy my conversation with Karen. And if you want to listen to the other fireside conversations with Sam Altman, Patrick Collison and Stan Druckenmiller, I recommend watching them on YouTube through the link in the show notes.

Why AI Might Cause A Paradigm Shift in Macro

Patrick
Karen, it seems like every single time I talk to you, you get promoted. So if we keep doing this, you're going to be President in a few years or something like that. Congratulations on the new position.

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