Making Markets
Episode 59 Tariffs, Trade, and Trump
Making Markets

Episode 59: Tariffs, Trade, and Trump

Making Markets

Episode 59

Tariffs, Trade, and Trump

Mark Dow is the founder of the Behavioral Macro blog. We cover the global and local economic impact of tariffs, challenges with Trump-era tariff policies, and the decline of U.S. soft power.

Show Notes

(00:00:00) Welcome to Invest Like the Best

(00:00:07) Understanding Tariffs: Historical Context and Rationale

(00:01:05) China's Role in Global Trade

(00:01:54) Impact of Automation on Jobs

(00:03:07) Trump's Trade Policies and Their Implications

(00:04:20) Challenges with Current Tariff Approaches

(00:05:37) Global Trade Imbalances and Misconceptions

(00:06:07) Market Reactions and Economic Consequences

(00:21:35) Political Shifts and Economic Policies

(00:25:56) Trump's Economic Policies and Wage Stagnation

(00:26:42) Tariffs and Their Impact on Small Businesses

(00:27:20) Market Reactions and Economic Surprises

(00:28:41) Equity and Credit Market Dynamics

(00:30:59) China's Strategic Moves and Market Implications

(00:33:49) The Fed's Role in Economic Stability

(00:39:00) Global Trade Relations and Soft Power

(00:49:08) Negotiating with Trump: Strategies and Challenges

Tariffs, Trade, and Trump

Introduction

Eric
My guest today is Mark Dow. Mark is one of my favorite macro investors and commentators. His experience at the IMF, the U.S. Treasury, and Wall Street gives him truly a unique perspective for the current market moment. As we went through one of the biggest market and policy upheavals of my career, I reached out to Mark to help us make sense of the situation.

We recorded this episode on Thursday, 10th April, and talked about general principles behind tariffs, the global trading system, the goals of President Trump, and the market reaction. Please enjoy this conversation with Mark Dow.

Eric
I'm really excited to do this. Mark, thanks for coming back on. All the talk has been about tariffs. It's been a crazy five days. I thought a good place to start would be to rewind to understand: why do countries impose tariffs? What is the general belief on the economic and reaction function of doing a tariff from one country to another?

Access the full transcript
Sign in or register to view episode transcripts.

Contact

Get in touch at help@joincolossus.com