Invest Like The Best
Episode 165 Update on Tail Risk
Invest Like The Best

Episode 165: Update on Tail Risk

Invest Like The Best

Episode 165

Update on Tail Risk

Chad Cascarilla is the CEO and co-founder of Paxos, a financial technology company. We cover the tail risks of the Coronavirus pandemic, the potential for inflation after the pandemic, and how Bitcoin might perform.

This episode is brought to you by:

Paxos. Paxos offers your customers crypto buying, selling, transferring, and more with easy-to-integrate APIs. Whether you’re a small fintech or a large financial institution, Paxos takes care of everything in the backend – from licensing and compliance to custody and exchange. You can start offering crypto to your customers within months. To learn more, visit paxos.com/patrick.

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[00:02:04] – Today’s market and the porridge scenario

[00:07:38] – Risks to the market that people aren’t focused on

[00:10:54] – What lessons from 2008 do we need to heed this time

[00:13:07] – How does he think about inflation on the other side of this crisis

[00:16:02] – What does a too cold recovery look like

[00:20:35] – Benefits of nationalizing the banks vs pumping liquidity

[00:24:13] – What does the just right recovery look like

[00:25:24] – Assets that might be ideal to hold in a too hot or too cold scenario

[00:29:00] – His take on how Bitcoin has performed during this crisis

[00:31:53] – The US’s inherent strengths compared to the rest of the global economy

[00:34:50] – Advice for people

[00:38:59] – Paxos.com

[00:39:48] – What is he monitoring to see which way things shake out

Update on Tail Risk

Introduction

Patrick
My guest today is Chad Cascarilla, here to discuss some of the tail risks in the economy and markets as of March 24th in the midst of the coronavirus pandemic. Chad was one of the most successful investors during the global financial crises, with a specialty in the banking and finance systems. He now runs Paxos, a trust company that trades and custodies these unique products like PAX Gold, Bitcoin, and other tokenized assets including simple PAX Dollars. I feel it's important to avoid confirmation bias in times like this, and not just talk to people who are optimistic or long, and while I still believe this is ultimately a positive and optimistic conversation, Chad acknowledges and outlines scenarios that few are talking about yet in markets. Please enjoy.

The State of Markets Right Now

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