Invest Like The Best
Episode 171 An Update on Public Markets
Invest Like The Best

Episode 171: An Update on Public Markets

Invest Like The Best

Episode 171

An Update on Public Markets

Chris is the founder and CIO of Semper Augustus. In this flash update, recorded during the COVID pandemic, we cover his view on the state of the public equity market, why it will be hard for the market to make great returns over the next decade, and where opportunities may lie.

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[00:01:42] – (First question) – Adjustments to his portfolio in the age of a pandemic

[00:06:41] – Chris Bloomstran Podcast Episode 

[00:09:36] – The Federal Reserve Act

[00:12:32] – Surprising action in the markets during the crisis

[00:13:08] – 2020 Investment Letter

[00:15:02] – Why we won’t see the same performance in tech over the future as we’ve seen the last decade

[00:21:00] – Carnage in the energy sector and its return potential

[00:30:06] – Berkshire Hathaway's activity since the crisis started

[00:35:48] – Where sectors are valued in the current market

[00:41:12] – Expectation for deflation over inflation  

[00:48:54] – Characteristics to look for in businesses to own over the next 10 years

[00:52:05] – Economic factors they are focusing on

An Update on Public Markets

Introduction

Patrick
My guest today for a flash update is Chris Bloomstran, the founder and CIO of Semper Augustus and a popular past guest on the show. We talk about his view on the state of the public equity market, why it will be hard for the market to deliver great returns for the next decade relative to the last decade, and where opportunities may lie. Please enjoy our conversation.

Portfolio Adjustments during the COVID Crisis

Talk to me a little bit about how you are thinking about or actually making adjustments to your portfolio in light of what has to be the most bizarre and challenging macro backdrop that we've ever faced as investors in our sort of collective careers.

Chris
Well, there's no doubt. Nobody's seen anything like this. I mean you can draw parallels to periods like the Great Depression or the World War II period, but I don't think you've ever seen the enormity of entire broad swaths of the global economy just stopping on a dime, going into this. And one of the themes of my letters in the last few years has been that we've really built up inordinate levels of debt in society, at all levels, household debt, corporate debt, government debt. And for that, we think that the debt stock relative to the size of the economy is unsustainable.

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